Almeria have only lost one of their last six league matches, and having picked up a huge result against Las Palmas, we are finding it difficult to back them to suffer a defeat here. Osasuna are a strong side, though, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw at Power Horse Stadium.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
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