Valencia will enter this match full of confidence, but they have only won four of their 15 away league matches this season, and Osasuna can be a tough nut to crack. It would not be a surprise to see a home or indeed an away success here, but we are backing a score draw at El Sadar on Monday night.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 36.7%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (11.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
-0.11) 
0.04) 
