We said: Osasuna 0-1 Cadiz
There is no downplaying the importance of this match for both sides, as a win could potentially act as a springboard for the rest of the season. Osasuna's home form this season has been disappointing, while Cadiz have been relatively strong on their travels, so we are backing a narrow away success here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.78%) and 1-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (11.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.