Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 43.76%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 27.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.79%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.11%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.
