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La Liga | Gameweek 36
Jul 11, 2020 at 4pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
CV

Osasuna
2 - 1
Celta Vigo

Gallego (23'), Arnaiz (90+1')
Hernandez (3'), Garcia (48')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mina (10')
Saenz (19'), Rafinha (59')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.

Result
OsasunaDrawCelta Vigo
41.88%27.37%30.75%
Both teams to score 48.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.27%56.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.32%77.68%
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.28%26.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.01%61.98%
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.36%33.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.71%70.29%
Score Analysis
    Osasuna 41.88%
    Celta Vigo 30.75%
    Draw 27.37%
OsasunaDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 11.86%
2-1 @ 8.53%
2-0 @ 7.83%
3-1 @ 3.75%
3-0 @ 3.44%
3-2 @ 2.04%
4-1 @ 1.24%
4-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 41.88%
1-1 @ 12.92%
0-0 @ 8.99%
2-2 @ 4.65%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.37%
0-1 @ 9.79%
1-2 @ 7.04%
0-2 @ 5.33%
1-3 @ 2.56%
0-3 @ 1.94%
2-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 30.75%


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