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La Liga | Gameweek 5
Oct 4, 2020 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
AB

Alaves
1 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Ely (74')
Duarte (85')
Duarte (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Garcia (19'), Nunez (62'), Martinez (64')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 48.28%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 23.61%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.1%) and 1-2 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
AlavesDrawAthletic Bilbao
23.61%28.11%48.28%
Both teams to score 42.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.23%62.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.7%82.3%
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.98%43.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.7%79.3%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.75%26.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.65%61.35%
Score Analysis
    Alaves 23.61%
    Athletic Bilbao 48.28%
    Draw 28.1%
AlavesDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 9.52%
2-1 @ 5.37%
2-0 @ 4.02%
3-1 @ 1.51%
3-0 @ 1.13%
3-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 23.61%
1-1 @ 12.74%
0-0 @ 11.28%
2-2 @ 3.59%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 28.1%
0-1 @ 15.1%
0-2 @ 10.1%
1-2 @ 8.52%
0-3 @ 4.5%
1-3 @ 3.8%
2-3 @ 1.6%
0-4 @ 1.51%
1-4 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 48.28%


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