Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 65.75%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 13.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.97%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-0 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
