Real Madrid
1 - 0
Granada

Asensio (74')
Modric (69'), Asensio (75')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sanchez (90+2')

Preview

Carlo Ancelotti: "We are not in our best moment"

The Match

We said: Real Madrid 2-0 Granada

Real Madrid will be determined to return to winning ways after two disappointing results, and we are finding it difficult to back anything other than a home success here. Granada's recent record against Los Blancos is extremely poor, and the capital giants should have too much quality for their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 65.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Granada had a probability of 15.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Granada win it was 1-2 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Granada
65.46%	19.38%	15.15%

Both teams to score 54.01%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.15%

39.85%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.79%

62.21%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.6%

11.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.85%

36.15%

Granada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.96%

39.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.24%

75.76%

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 65.46%

Granada 15.15%

Draw 19.38%

Real Madrid	Draw	Granada
2-0 @ 10.49% 2-1 @ 9.87% 1-0 @ 9.66% 3-0 @ 7.6% 3-1 @ 7.15% 4-0 @ 4.13% 4-1 @ 3.88% 3-2 @ 3.36% 4-2 @ 1.83% 5-0 @ 1.79% 5-1 @ 1.69% Other @ 4.02% Total : 65.46%	1-1 @ 9.09% 2-2 @ 4.64% 0-0 @ 4.45% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.38%	1-2 @ 4.28% 0-1 @ 4.19% 0-2 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.46% 1-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.93% Total : 15.15%