Real Madrid
2 - 2
Elche

Modric (82' pen.), Militao (90+2')
Militao (54'), Junior (72'), Alaba (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Boye (42'), Milla (76')
Fidel (55')

Preview

The Match

We said: Real Madrid 2-0 Elche

Real Madrid will be back at full strength this weekend, and we are finding it difficult to back anything other than a home victory here. Elche impressed in Thursday's Copa del Rey contest but are again likely to come up short against title-chasing Los Blancos at Bernabeu. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 83.06%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for Elche had a probability of 5.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.69%) and 1-0 (10.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.6%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (2.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Elche
83.06%	11.8%	5.14%

Both teams to score 40.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.3%

35.7%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.22%

57.78%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.63%

6.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.1%

23.89%

Elche Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

42.75%

57.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.82%

89.18%

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 83.04%

Elche 5.14%

Draw 11.8%

Real Madrid	Draw	Elche
2-0 @ 13.82% 3-0 @ 12.69% 1-0 @ 10.03% 4-0 @ 8.75% 2-1 @ 7.71% 3-1 @ 7.08% 4-1 @ 4.88% 5-0 @ 4.82% 5-1 @ 2.69% 6-0 @ 2.21% 3-2 @ 1.98% 4-2 @ 1.36% 6-1 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.79% Total : 83.04%	1-1 @ 5.6% 0-0 @ 3.64% 2-2 @ 2.15% Other @ 0.4% Total : 11.8%	0-1 @ 2.03% 1-2 @ 1.56% Other @ 1.55% Total : 5.14%