We said: Real Madrid 1-0 Valencia
Valencia are more than capable of picking up a positive result at Bernabeu, and we are expecting this to be a very close match in the Spanish capital this weekend. Real Madrid will be desperate to return to winning ways following their loss at Getafe, though, and we are backing a 1-0 home success in this match.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 63.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 15.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
