Elche
1 - 2
Real Madrid

Gonzalo (103')
Milla (87')
Milla (120+2')

FT
(aet)

Isco (108'), Hazard (115')
Kroos (78'), Casemiro (87'), Alaba (94')
Marcelo (102')

Preview

The Match

Elche will enter this match in good confidence, and they will not be taking on a full-strength Real Madrid side on Thursday night. It is difficult to back against Ancelotti's side at the moment, though, and we are expecting them to secure their spot in the quarter-finals of the competition courtesy of a narrow success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 63.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Elche had a probability of 16.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.54%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Elche win it was 1-0 (4.79%).

Result
Elche	Draw	Real Madrid
16.29%	20.61%	63.1%

Both teams to score 52.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.78%

43.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.38%

65.63%

Elche Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.34%

39.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.66%

76.34%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.93%

13.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.34%

39.66%

Score Analysis

Elche 16.29%

Real Madrid 63.1%

Draw 20.61%

Elche	Draw	Real Madrid
1-0 @ 4.79% 2-1 @ 4.51% 2-0 @ 2.22% 3-2 @ 1.42% 3-1 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.96% Total : 16.29%	1-1 @ 9.76% 0-0 @ 5.18% 2-2 @ 4.59% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.61%	0-2 @ 10.73% 0-1 @ 10.54% 1-2 @ 9.93% 0-3 @ 7.28% 1-3 @ 6.73% 0-4 @ 3.7% 1-4 @ 3.43% 2-3 @ 3.11% 2-4 @ 1.58% 0-5 @ 1.51% 1-5 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.16% Total : 63.1%