We say: Elche 1-2 Real Madrid
Elche will enter this match in good confidence, and they will not be taking on a full-strength Real Madrid side on Thursday night. It is difficult to back against Ancelotti's side at the moment, though, and we are expecting them to secure their spot in the quarter-finals of the competition courtesy of a narrow success.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 63.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Elche had a probability of 16.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.54%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Elche win it was 1-0 (4.79%).
