Barcelona
2 - 3
Real Madrid

de Jong (41'), Fati (83')
Torres (23'), Alves (51')

FT
(aet)

Junior (25'), Benzema (72'), Valverde (98')
Casemiro (75'), Valverde (99')

Build‑up

The Match

We say: Barcelona 1-3 Real Madrid

With Benzema, Vinicius and a whole host of Real Madrid's XI playing out of their skin right now, a depleted Barcelona outfit cannot expect to head into Wednesday's semi-final as the favourites. La Blaugrana will give it their all for a realistic shot at a trophy, but Ancelotti's free-scoring outfit possess the necessary firepower to march onto Sunday's final. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%).

Result
Barcelona	Draw	Real Madrid
40.37%	24.54%	35.09%

Both teams to score 59.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.29%

43.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.9%

66.1%

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.32%

21.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.17%

54.82%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.58%

24.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.15%

58.85%

Score Analysis

Barcelona 40.37%

Real Madrid 35.09%

Draw 24.54%

Barcelona	Draw	Real Madrid
2-1 @ 8.72% 1-0 @ 8.09% 2-0 @ 6.19% 3-1 @ 4.45% 3-0 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 3.13% 4-1 @ 1.7% 4-0 @ 1.21% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.54% Total : 40.37%	1-1 @ 11.41% 2-2 @ 6.15% 0-0 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.54%	1-2 @ 8.04% 0-1 @ 7.46% 0-2 @ 5.26% 1-3 @ 3.78% 2-3 @ 2.89% 0-3 @ 2.47% 1-4 @ 1.33% 2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.83% Total : 35.09%