SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 45.77%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 26.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Mallorca |
45.77% ( -0.02) | 27.4% ( 0.02) | 26.82% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.4% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.48% ( -0.05) | 58.51% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.91% ( -0.04) | 79.09% ( 0.04) |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.46% ( -0.03) | 25.53% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.61% ( -0.05) | 60.39% ( 0.05) |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.31% ( -0.03) | 37.68% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.54% ( -0.02) | 74.46% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Mallorca |
| 1-0 @ 13.13% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.97% 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0)Other @ 2.17% Total : 45.77% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.4% | 0-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.58% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.49% 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 1.68% Total : 26.82% |
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