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La Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 11, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
RV

Elche
1 - 1
Valladolid

Morente (90+6')
Gumbau (20'), Morente (71'), Milla (90+6'), Mascarell (90+11')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Larin (4')
Plano (72'), Mesa (90+5'), Hongla (90+11'), Larin (90+11')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mallorca 0-1 Elche
Saturday, March 4 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Elche 1-1 Real Valladolid

Elche were excellent against Mallorca last time out and will therefore enter this match full of confidence. Real Valladolid were also impressive against Espanyol, though, and we are finding it difficult to separate the two sides here, ultimately backing a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 36.62%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 36.41% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
ElcheDrawReal Valladolid
36.62% (-0.058 -0.06) 26.97% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 36.41% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 51.01% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.75% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)54.25% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.35% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)75.65% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.48% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)28.52% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.7% (-0.073 -0.07)64.3% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.36% (0.0039999999999907 0)28.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.55% (0.0049999999999955 0)64.45% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Elche 36.61%
    Real Valladolid 36.41%
    Draw 26.97%
ElcheDrawReal Valladolid
1-0 @ 10.24%
2-1 @ 8.04% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.43% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.69% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 36.61%
1-1 @ 12.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.17% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.97%
0-1 @ 10.21% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.01% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 6.38% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.66% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 36.41%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Mallorca 0-1 Elche
Saturday, March 4 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Elche 2-3 Betis
Friday, February 24 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Elche 0-1 Espanyol
Sunday, February 19 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 4-0 Elche
Wednesday, February 15 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Elche 3-1 Villarreal
Saturday, February 4 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 3-0 Elche
Saturday, January 28 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valladolid 2-1 Espanyol
Sunday, March 5 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 3-0 Valladolid
Sunday, February 26 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Betis 2-1 Valladolid
Saturday, February 18 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valladolid 0-0 Osasuna
Sunday, February 12 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 0-1 Valladolid
Sunday, February 5 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valladolid 1-0 Valencia
Sunday, January 29 at 1pm in La Liga


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