Elche were excellent against Mallorca last time out and will therefore enter this match full of confidence. Real Valladolid were also impressive against Espanyol, though, and we are finding it difficult to separate the two sides here, ultimately backing a low-scoring draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 36.62%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 36.41% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.