This is a really difficult match to call, as there is not a lot between the two teams. The fact that four of their last five La Liga meetings have ended in draws is difficult to ignore, and we are finding it tough to back anything other than another stalemate in Sunday's contest.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 45.88%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
1.35) 
-0.3) 
