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La Liga | Gameweek 27
Apr 2, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
RV

Real Madrid
6 - 0
Valladolid

Rodrygo (22'), Benzema (29', 32', 36'), Asensio (73'), Vazquez (90+1')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Fresneda (64')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Real Madrid 2-0 Real Valladolid

This might not be a straightforward match for Real Madrid, as Real Valladolid are battling for their lives towards the bottom of the division. Los Blancos will be determined to return to winning ways following El Clasico, though, and we are expecting the champions to navigate their way to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 78.12%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 8.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.33%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-2 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawReal Valladolid
78.12% (0.093000000000004 0.09) 13.66% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01) 8.22% (-0.084 -0.08)
Both teams to score 51.33% (-0.42299999999999 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.65% (-0.304 -0.3)31.35% (0.305 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.2% (-0.361 -0.36)52.8% (0.361 0.36)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.57% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)6.43% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.93% (-0.13 -0.13)24.07% (0.13 0.13)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.86% (-0.42599999999999 -0.43)45.14% (0.427 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.96% (-0.339 -0.34)81.04% (0.34 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 78.11%
    Real Valladolid 8.22%
    Draw 13.66%
Real MadridDrawReal Valladolid
2-0 @ 10.92% (0.12 0.12)
3-0 @ 10% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 7.96% (0.112 0.11)
3-1 @ 7.95% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 6.86% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 5.46% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
5-0 @ 3.77% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-1 @ 3% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.17% (-0.039 -0.04)
6-0 @ 1.72% (0.002 0)
6-1 @ 1.37% (-0.015 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.19% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 78.11%
1-1 @ 6.33% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.46% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-0 @ 2.9% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 13.66%
1-2 @ 2.52% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-1 @ 2.31% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 0.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.92% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 8.22%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Barcelona 2-1 Real Madrid
Sunday, March 19 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-0 Liverpool
Wednesday, March 15 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-1 Espanyol
Saturday, March 11 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Betis 0-0 Real Madrid
Sunday, March 5 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 0-1 Barcelona
Thursday, March 2 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-1 Atletico
Saturday, February 25 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valladolid 1-3 Athletic Bilbao
Friday, March 17 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Elche 1-1 Valladolid
Saturday, March 11 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valladolid 2-1 Espanyol
Sunday, March 5 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 3-0 Valladolid
Sunday, February 26 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Betis 2-1 Valladolid
Saturday, February 18 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valladolid 0-0 Osasuna
Sunday, February 12 at 5.30pm in La Liga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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