Sevilla are difficult to back at the moment, but a home victory is coming for Sampaoli's side, and we are predicting it to happen this weekend. Getafe have lost just three of their seven away league fixtures this term, but we have a feeling that Sevilla will shade this contest.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 55.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 19.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
0.13) 
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