Sevilla have shown a lot of improvement under Sampaoli, but it is really difficult to back against Real Madrid at the moment, especially at Bernabeu. Los Blancos might have to be patient on Saturday, but we are expecting the champions to put another three points on the board in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 69.98%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 11.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Sevilla
69.98% ( 0.02)	18.64% ( -0.01)	11.38% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 45.54% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.59% (

0.01)

45.42% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.25% (

0.01)

67.75% (

-0.01)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.22% (

0.01)

11.78% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.03% (

0.02)

36.98% (

-0.02)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.62% (

-0.01)

48.38% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.49% (

-0.01)

83.51% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 69.98%

Sevilla 11.38%

Draw 18.64%

Real Madrid	Draw	Sevilla
2-0 @ 13.03% 1-0 @ 12.19% 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0) 3-0 @ 9.29% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.75% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.97% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.61% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.45% 5-0 @ 2.13% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.54% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.25% Total : 69.98%	1-1 @ 8.85% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.44% ( -0) Other @ 0.66% Total : 18.64%	0-1 @ 4.14% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.21% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 11.38%