SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 70.52%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 12.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for a Sevilla win it was 1-2 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Sevilla |
70.52% ( -0.27) | 17.27% ( -0.08) | 12.21% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 53.18% ( 1.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.19% ( 1.34) | 36.8% ( -1.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.02% ( 1.44) | 58.97% ( -1.44) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.69% ( 0.28) | 9.3% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.6% ( 0.67) | 31.39% ( -0.68) |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.63% ( 1.45) | 41.36% ( -1.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.12% ( 1.26) | 77.87% ( -1.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Madrid | Draw | Sevilla |
| 2-0 @ 10.85% ( -0.43) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.49)3-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.18)5-0 @ 2.42% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.13)6-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.38% Total : 70.52% | 1-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.17)0-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.26)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.27% | 1-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.46% Total : 12.21% |
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