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La Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 27, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Coliseum Alfonso Perez
VL

Getafe
1 - 1
Valencia

Arambarri (90' pen.)
Perez (44'), Nyom (90+2'), Dakonam (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Barrenechea (36')
Mosquera (41'), Lopez (42'), Correia (45+1'), Rioja (54'), Foulquier (65'), Barrenechea (67'), Duro (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Villarreal 1-1 Getafe
Sunday, October 20 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 2-3 Las Palmas
Monday, October 21 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Getafe 1-1 Valencia

There has only actually been one draw in the last seven La Liga meetings between the two teams, but we are finding it difficult to separate them this weekend. Both have struggled in the final third of the field in 2024-25, and we are expecting a low-key stalemate on Sunday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 44.71%. A draw had a probability of 32.3% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 23.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (6.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.03%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
GetafeDrawValencia
44.71% (-0.183 -0.18) 32.26% (0.122 0.12) 23.03% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 32.85% (-0.17700000000001 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
26.13% (-0.236 -0.24)73.87% (0.236 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
10.39% (-0.14 -0.14)89.61% (0.14 0.14)
Getafe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.16% (-0.239 -0.24)33.84% (0.239 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.49% (-0.26 -0.26)70.51% (0.259 0.26)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.65% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)50.34% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.1% (-0.061 -0.06)84.89% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Getafe 44.71%
    Valencia 23.02%
    Draw 32.25%
GetafeDrawValencia
1-0 @ 18.46% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 10% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 6.86% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.61% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.48% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 44.71%
0-0 @ 17.03% (0.15 0.15)
1-1 @ 12.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.36% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 32.25%
0-1 @ 11.69% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 4.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.01% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 23.02%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Villarreal 1-1 Getafe
Sunday, October 20 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Getafe 1-1 Osasuna
Saturday, October 5 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Getafe 2-0 Alaves
Saturday, September 28 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 1-0 Getafe
Wednesday, September 25 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Getafe 1-1 Leganes
Sunday, September 22 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Betis 2-1 Getafe
Wednesday, September 18 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 2-3 Las Palmas
Monday, October 21 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Leganes 0-0 Valencia
Friday, October 4 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 3-0 Valencia
Saturday, September 28 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 0-0 Osasuna
Tuesday, September 24 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 2-0 Girona
Saturday, September 21 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 3-0 Valencia
Sunday, September 15 at 8pm in La Liga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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