There has only actually been one draw in the last seven La Liga meetings between the two teams, but we are finding it difficult to separate them this weekend. Both have struggled in the final third of the field in 2024-25, and we are expecting a low-key stalemate on Sunday afternoon.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 44.71%. A draw had a probability of 32.3% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 23.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (6.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.03%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
-0.18) 
0.12) 
