Levante are in desperate need of the points to stay in the league and will have to attack Real Sociedad on Friday night. Under normal circumstances, we would be backing a draw here, but Levante will have to go for it, and we can see the visitors picking up all three points courtesy of a narrow success.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 51.5%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Levante had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Levante win it was 1-0 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.