Despite Vallecano's awful finish to the season over the last few months, and Levante's revival in form, we can see the hosts edging out their visitors by a narrow margin here.
Levante have picked up just 10 points from the 54 available to them on their travels this season, whilst eight of Vallecano's 11 league wins have arrived in front of their own supporters, so we are predicting a home win following an entertaining encounter.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Levante had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Levante win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
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