Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 71.45%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 9.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.78%) and 0-3 (10.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
