SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bohemians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bohemians | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
42.04% ( -0.01) | 26.05% | 31.9% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.11% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.81% ( 0.02) | 51.19% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.97% ( 0.02) | 73.03% ( -0.01) |
| Bohemians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.87% ( 0) | 24.13% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.57% ( 0.01) | 58.43% ( -0) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70% ( 0.02) | 29.99% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.89% ( 0.02) | 66.11% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bohemians | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.28% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.81% 2-0 @ 7.32% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.18% 3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.48% 4-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.76% Total : 42.03% | 1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.24% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 8.71% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.46% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.25% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.35% Total : 31.9% |
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