Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 37.49%. A win for Bohemians had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Bohemians win was 1-0 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Derry City in this match.
Result | ||
Bohemians | Draw | Derry City |
35.06% ( -0.04) | 27.45% ( 0.01) | 37.49% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 49.45% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.81% ( -0.04) | 56.19% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.76% ( -0.03) | 77.24% ( 0.03) |
Bohemians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.57% ( -0.05) | 30.43% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.37% ( -0.05) | 66.63% ( 0.06) |
Derry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.07% | 28.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.19% ( -0) | 64.81% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Bohemians | Draw | Derry City |
1-0 @ 10.47% 2-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 35.06% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.45% | 0-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.8% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.6% Total : 37.49% |
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