Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 37.49%. A win for Bohemians had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Bohemians win was 1-0 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Derry City in this match.

Result
Bohemians	Draw	Derry City
35.06% ( -0.04)	27.45% ( 0.01)	37.49% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 49.45% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.81% (

-0.04)

56.19% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.76% (

-0.03)

77.24% (

0.03)

Bohemians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.57% (

-0.05)

30.43% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.37% (

-0.05)

66.63% (

0.06)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.07%

28.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.19% (

-0)

64.81% (

Score Analysis

Bohemians 35.06%

Derry City 37.49%

Draw 27.45%

Bohemians	Draw	Derry City
1-0 @ 10.47% 2-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 35.06%	1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.45%	0-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.8% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.6% Total : 37.49%