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League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 15
May 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Dalymount Park
DC

Bohemians
0 - 1
Derry


Kirk (1'), Buckley (87')
Horton (14')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Graydon (16')
Diallo (65'), Dummigan (90+3')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Bohemians and Derry City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shamrock 2-0 Bohemians
Friday, May 5 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Drogheda 0-1 Derry
Friday, May 5 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 37.49%. A win for Bohemians had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Bohemians win was 1-0 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Derry City in this match.

Result
BohemiansDrawDerry City
35.06% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 27.45% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 37.49% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 49.45% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.81% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)56.19% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.76% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)77.24% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Bohemians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.57% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)30.43% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.37% (-0.055 -0.05)66.63% (0.055000000000007 0.06)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.07%28.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.19% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)64.81% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Bohemians 35.06%
    Derry City 37.49%
    Draw 27.45%
BohemiansDrawDerry City
1-0 @ 10.47%
2-1 @ 7.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.07% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.47% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 35.06%
1-1 @ 12.99% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.8% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.45%
0-1 @ 10.91% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.06% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 6.77% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.8% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 37.49%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Shamrock 2-0 Bohemians
Friday, May 5 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Bohemians 5-0 Cork City
Monday, May 1 at 5pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: UCD 1-1 Bohemians
Friday, April 28 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Drogheda 0-2 Bohemians
Friday, April 21 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Bohemians 2-3 St Patrick's
Friday, April 14 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 0-1 Bohemians
Monday, April 10 at 7pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Drogheda 0-1 Derry
Friday, May 5 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 0-2 Shamrock
Monday, May 1 at 7.15pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 2-0 St Patrick's
Friday, April 28 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Cork City 1-3 Derry
Friday, April 21 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 2-2 Derry
Sunday, April 16 at 3pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 0-1 Bohemians
Monday, April 10 at 7pm in League of Ireland Premier


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