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League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 14
May 6, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Showgrounds
D

Sligo
0 - 1
Dundalk


Clancy (71'), Clancy (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ward (84')
Shepperd (90+5')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Sligo Rovers and Dundalk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Patrick's 0-1 Sligo
Monday, May 1 at 3pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: UCD 0-2 Dundalk
Monday, May 1 at 5pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 0-1 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Sligo RoversDrawDundalk
40.07% (0.073 0.07) 28.56% (0.143 0.14) 31.37% (-0.217 -0.22)
Both teams to score 45.49% (-0.465 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.22% (-0.546 -0.55)60.78% (0.545 0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.17% (-0.413 -0.41)80.83% (0.413 0.41)
Sligo Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.34% (-0.227 -0.23)29.66% (0.227 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.29% (-0.274 -0.27)65.7% (0.27399999999999 0.27)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.67% (-0.452 -0.45)35.33% (0.45200000000001 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.91% (-0.473 -0.47)72.09% (0.473 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Sligo Rovers 40.07%
    Dundalk 31.37%
    Draw 28.55%
Sligo RoversDrawDundalk
1-0 @ 12.73% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 8.05% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.74% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.26% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 0.99% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.95% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 40.07%
1-1 @ 13.25% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 10.47% (0.21 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.19% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.55%
0-1 @ 10.9% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 6.89% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.67% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.97% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 31.37%

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Form Guide
Last Game: St Patrick's 0-1 Sligo
Monday, May 1 at 3pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shamrock 2-1 Sligo
Friday, April 28 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Sligo 3-1 UCD
Saturday, April 22 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Sligo 1-1 Drogheda
Saturday, April 15 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shelbourne 2-1 Sligo
Monday, April 10 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 1-2 Sligo
Friday, April 7 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: UCD 0-2 Dundalk
Monday, May 1 at 5pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 3-2 Drogheda
Friday, April 28 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shelbourne 1-1 Dundalk
Friday, April 21 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 2-2 Derry
Sunday, April 16 at 3pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Cork City 1-0 Dundalk
Monday, April 10 at 5pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 1-2 Sligo
Friday, April 7 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier


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