SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 0-1 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | Dundalk |
40.07% ( 0.07) | 28.56% ( 0.14) | 31.37% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 45.49% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.22% ( -0.55) | 60.78% ( 0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.17% ( -0.41) | 80.83% ( 0.41) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.34% ( -0.23) | 29.66% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.29% ( -0.27) | 65.7% ( 0.27) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.67% ( -0.45) | 35.33% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.91% ( -0.47) | 72.09% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | Dundalk |
| 1-0 @ 12.73% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 1.5% Total : 40.07% | 1-1 @ 13.25% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.55% | 0-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.09% Total : 31.37% |
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