SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 49.91%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 25.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
49.91% ( 0.16) | 24.68% ( -0.11) | 25.41% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 53.23% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.94% ( 0.42) | 49.05% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.86% ( 0.38) | 71.13% ( -0.38) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.32% ( 0.23) | 19.67% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.33% ( 0.38) | 51.66% ( -0.38) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.26% ( 0.18) | 33.73% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.6% ( 0.19) | 70.39% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.78% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.91% Total : 49.9% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.67% | 0-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 6.37% 0-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 25.41% |
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