SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | St Patrick's Athletic | 24 | 11 | 36 |
| 5 | Sligo Rovers | 23 | 5 | 32 |
| 6 | Bohemians | 23 | 2 | 32 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Sligo Rovers | 23 | 5 | 32 |
| 6 | Bohemians | 23 | 2 | 32 |
| 7 | Shelbourne | 23 | -5 | 31 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Bohemians had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Bohemians win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sligo Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | Bohemians |
38.27% ( 0.62) | 27.69% ( -0.09) | 34.04% ( -0.53) |
| Both teams to score 48.6% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.81% ( 0.28) | 57.19% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.95% ( 0.22) | 78.04% ( -0.23) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.04% ( 0.5) | 28.95% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.15% ( 0.62) | 64.84% ( -0.62) |
| Bohemians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.4% ( -0.21) | 31.59% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32% ( -0.24) | 67.99% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | Bohemians |
| 1-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.6% Total : 38.26% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.68% | 0-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.89% Total : 34.04% |
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