SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (8.66%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | Derry City |
27.79% ( 0.41) | 27.33% ( -0.02) | 44.88% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 47.24% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.23% ( 0.28) | 57.77% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.5% ( 0.22) | 78.51% ( -0.22) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.53% ( 0.49) | 36.47% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.74% ( 0.49) | 73.26% ( -0.49) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.36% ( -0.06) | 25.64% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.46% ( -0.09) | 60.54% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | Derry City |
| 1-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.87% Total : 27.79% | 1-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.32% | 0-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 8.74% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.66% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.18% Total : 44.87% |
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