SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 1-0 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dundalk | Draw | Bohemians |
36% ( 0.76) | 26.89% ( -0.23) | 37.11% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 51.28% ( 0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.09% ( 0.98) | 53.91% ( -0.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.63% ( 0.82) | 75.36% ( -0.82) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.27% ( 0.95) | 28.73% ( -0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.44% ( 1.16) | 64.56% ( -1.16) |
| Bohemians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.94% ( 0.16) | 28.06% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.28% ( 0.21) | 63.72% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundalk | Draw | Bohemians |
| 1-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.99% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.31)2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.88% | 0-1 @ 10.24% ( -0.35) 1-2 @ 8.12% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.81% Total : 37.11% |
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