SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 36.35%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.59%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 0-1 (11.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bohemians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bohemians | Draw | Dundalk |
36.35% ( 0.01) | 28.76% ( -0.2) | 34.89% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 45.55% ( 0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39% ( 0.69) | 61% ( -0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.01% ( 0.52) | 80.99% ( -0.52) |
| Bohemians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.96% ( 0.36) | 32.04% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.49% ( 0.41) | 68.5% ( -0.41) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.02% ( 0.49) | 32.98% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.43% ( 0.54) | 69.57% ( -0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bohemians | Draw | Dundalk |
| 1-0 @ 12.02% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 7.59% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.8% Total : 36.34% | 1-1 @ 13.34% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 10.56% ( -0.28)2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.75% | 0-1 @ 11.72% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 6.5% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.58% Total : 34.89% |
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