SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 21 | -13 | 22 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 21 | -20 | 12 |
| 10 | University College Dublin | 21 | -32 | 9 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Sligo Rovers | 22 | 7 | 32 |
| 6 | Bohemians | 21 | -1 | 26 |
| 7 | Shelbourne | 21 | -9 | 25 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 62.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 15.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.77%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bohemians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| University College Dublin | Draw | Bohemians |
15.07% ( 0.25) | 22.74% ( 0.82) | 62.18% ( -1.08) |
| Both teams to score 43.31% ( -1.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.92% ( -2.68) | 54.08% ( 2.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.49% ( -2.29) | 75.51% ( 2.29) |
| University College Dublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.15% ( -1.26) | 47.85% ( 1.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.88% ( -0.95) | 83.12% ( 0.95) |
| Bohemians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.04% ( -1.29) | 16.96% ( 1.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.95% ( -2.34) | 47.04% ( 2.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| University College Dublin | Draw | Bohemians |
| 1-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.02% Total : 15.07% | 1-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.82)2-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.19)Other @ 0.55% Total : 22.74% | 0-1 @ 14.39% ( 0.87) 0-2 @ 12.77% ( 0.24)1-2 @ 9.42% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 7.56% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 5.57% ( -0.35)0-4 @ 3.35% ( -0.24)1-4 @ 2.47% ( -0.27)2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.21)0-5 @ 1.19% ( -0.14)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.49% Total : 62.17% |
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