SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 62.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 15.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.74%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| University College Dublin | Draw | Derry City |
15.17% ( -1.18) | 22.82% ( -0.47) | 62.02% ( 1.65) |
| Both teams to score 43.32% ( -1.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.82% ( -0.13) | 54.18% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.41% ( -0.1) | 75.59% ( 0.11) |
| University College Dublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.22% ( -1.69) | 47.77% ( 1.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.93% ( -1.27) | 83.06% ( 1.28) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.95% ( 0.54) | 17.05% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.79% ( 0.94) | 47.21% ( -0.94) |
| Score Analysis |
| University College Dublin | Draw | Derry City |
| 1-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.3)2-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.03% Total : 15.17% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.27) 0-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.55% Total : 22.81% | 0-1 @ 14.4% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 12.74% ( 0.5)1-2 @ 9.42% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 7.52% ( 0.42)1-3 @ 5.55% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 3.32% ( 0.24)1-4 @ 2.46% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.08)0-5 @ 1.18% ( 0.11)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.47% Total : 62% |
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