Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 56.07%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 18.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shelbourne would win this match.
Result | ||
Shelbourne | Draw | Drogheda United |
56.07% ( 0.03) | 25% ( -0.02) | 18.93% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 44.3% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.26% ( 0.05) | 56.74% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.31% ( 0.04) | 77.69% ( -0.04) |
Shelbourne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.78% ( 0.03) | 20.22% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.46% ( 0.05) | 52.55% ( -0.05) |
Drogheda United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.53% ( 0.02) | 44.47% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.49% ( 0.01) | 80.51% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Shelbourne | Draw | Drogheda United |
1-0 @ 14.37% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.48% 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.45% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0) Other @ 3.38% Total : 56.06% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.77% ( 0) Other @ 0.59% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.72% 0-2 @ 2.95% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.28% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 1.68% Total : 18.93% |
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