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League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 19
Jun 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Tolka Park
DU

Shelbourne
3 - 2
Drogheda

Boyd (49'), Griffin (66'), Caffrey (77')
Wilson (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Draper (40', 90+5')
Rooney (52'), Foley (77')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derry 0-0 Shelbourne
Friday, June 2 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Drogheda 0-1 Cork City
Friday, June 2 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

We said: Shelbourne 0-0 Drogheda United

After suffering a bitter defeat last time out, we would not be surprised if Drogheda rock up at Shelbourne with the mentality of avoiding a second successive loss first and foremost. Shelbourne are clearly struggling to create chances having failed to score in each of their last three games, so another goalless draw could be on the cards for Duff's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 56.07%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 18.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shelbourne would win this match.

Result
ShelbourneDrawDrogheda United
56.07% (0.025999999999996 0.03) 25% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 18.93% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 44.3% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.26% (0.048000000000002 0.05)56.74% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.31% (0.040000000000003 0.04)77.69% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Shelbourne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.78% (0.027999999999992 0.03)20.22% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.46% (0.046999999999997 0.05)52.55% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Drogheda United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.53% (0.018000000000001 0.02)44.47% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.49% (0.012 0.01)80.51% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Shelbourne 56.06%
    Drogheda United 18.93%
    Draw 24.99%
ShelbourneDrawDrogheda United
1-0 @ 14.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.48%
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 6.12% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.96% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.45% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 56.06%
1-1 @ 11.64% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.99% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.77% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 7.29% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.72%
0-2 @ 2.95% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 18.93%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Derry 0-0 Shelbourne
Friday, June 2 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Bohemians 0-0 Shelbourne
Friday, May 26 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shelbourne 0-1 St Patrick's
Friday, May 19 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Sligo 0-3 Shelbourne
Saturday, May 13 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shelbourne 1-0 UCD
Friday, May 5 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Drogheda 1-1 Shelbourne
Monday, May 1 at 5pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Drogheda 0-1 Cork City
Friday, June 2 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Drogheda 3-1 UCD
Friday, May 26 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shamrock 1-2 Drogheda
Friday, May 19 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: St Patrick's 3-0 Drogheda
Friday, May 12 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Drogheda 0-1 Derry
Friday, May 5 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Drogheda 1-1 Shelbourne
Monday, May 1 at 5pm in League of Ireland Premier


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