SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 67.26%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Cork City had a probability of 12.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.93%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Cork City win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derry City | Draw | Cork City |
67.26% ( 0.52) | 20.72% ( 0.01) | 12.02% ( -0.53) |
| Both teams to score 41.3% ( -1.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.65% ( -1.19) | 52.35% ( 1.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.96% ( -1.03) | 74.03% ( 1.03) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.31% ( -0.22) | 14.69% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.14% ( -0.42) | 42.86% ( 0.42) |
| Cork City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.41% ( -1.64) | 51.59% ( 1.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.27% ( -1.11) | 85.73% ( 1.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derry City | Draw | Cork City |
| 1-0 @ 14.53% ( 0.56) 2-0 @ 13.93% ( 0.43)2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.15)5-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.04% Total : 67.25% | 1-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.35)2-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.47% Total : 20.72% | 0-1 @ 5.02% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.16% Total : 12.02% |
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