SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 30.15% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shelbourne | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
41.83% ( 0.07) | 28.02% ( 0.02) | 30.15% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 46.53% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.73% ( -0.08) | 59.27% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.32% ( -0.06) | 79.68% ( 0.06) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.06% ( 0) | 27.94% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.44% ( 0) | 63.56% ( 0) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.57% ( -0.11) | 35.43% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.8% ( -0.11) | 72.2% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shelbourne | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 12.62% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.55% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 1.78% Total : 41.83% | 1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.01% | 0-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.06% Total : 30.15% |
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