SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 59.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 15.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.89%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shelbourne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| University College Dublin | Draw | Shelbourne |
15.8% ( -0.12) | 24.31% ( -0.08) | 59.88% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 40.75% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.57% ( 0.11) | 58.43% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.97% ( 0.09) | 79.02% ( -0.09) |
| University College Dublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.56% ( -0.09) | 49.44% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.73% ( -0.06) | 84.27% ( 0.06) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.6% ( 0.11) | 19.4% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.79% ( 0.19) | 51.21% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| University College Dublin | Draw | Shelbourne |
| 1-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.85% Total : 15.8% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.59% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.44% Total : 24.3% | 0-1 @ 15.72% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 12.89% ( 0.04)1-2 @ 9.09% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 7.05% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.97% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.89% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.04% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0)0-5 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 59.87% |
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