SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cork City win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cork City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cork City | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
42.21% ( 0.04) | 26.38% ( -0.01) | 31.4% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 51.87% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.29% ( 0.01) | 52.7% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.66% ( 0.01) | 74.34% ( -0.01) |
| Cork City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.28% ( 0.03) | 24.72% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.74% ( 0.03) | 59.26% ( -0.03) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.9% ( -0.02) | 31.1% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.58% ( -0.02) | 67.42% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cork City | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.09% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 42.21% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.69% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.12% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.38% | 0-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.33% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.97% Total : 31.41% |
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