Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Drogheda United had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Drogheda United win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Drogheda United | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
35.07% ( -0.9) | 26.47% ( 0.3) | 38.46% ( 0.59) |
Both teams to score 52.55% ( -1.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.73% ( -1.34) | 52.27% ( 1.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.03% ( -1.16) | 73.97% ( 1.16) |
Drogheda United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.5% ( -1.18) | 28.5% ( 1.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.73% ( -1.51) | 64.27% ( 1.51) |
St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.49% ( -0.29) | 26.51% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.29% ( -0.39) | 61.71% ( 0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Drogheda United | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
1-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.69% Total : 35.07% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.47% | 0-1 @ 10.02% ( 0.43) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.24% Total : 38.45% |
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