SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 58.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 18.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derry City | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
58.11% ( -0.02) | 23.11% ( 0.01) | 18.78% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.38% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.17% ( -0.02) | 49.82% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.18% ( -0.02) | 71.82% ( 0.02) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.13% ( -0.02) | 16.87% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.11% ( -0.03) | 46.88% ( 0.03) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.4% ( 0) | 40.6% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.8% ( 0) | 77.2% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derry City | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 12.18% 2-0 @ 10.84% 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.8% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.86% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.02% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.9% Total : 58.09% | 1-1 @ 10.98% 0-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.41% Other @ 0.87% Total : 23.1% | 0-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.95% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.78% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.49% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.06% Total : 18.78% |
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