SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for Cork City had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.82%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Cork City win was 1-0 (11.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cork City | Draw | Derry City |
31.4% ( 0.08) | 29.14% ( -0) | 39.46% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 43.93% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.29% ( 0.02) | 62.71% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.74% ( 0.02) | 82.26% ( -0.02) |
| Cork City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.64% ( 0.07) | 36.36% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.86% ( 0.07) | 73.14% ( -0.07) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.02% ( -0.04) | 30.98% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.71% ( -0.04) | 67.29% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cork City | Draw | Derry City |
| 1-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 1.92% Total : 31.39% | 1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 11.26% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.96% ( 0)Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.13% | 0-1 @ 13.19% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.82% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.73% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.09% Total : 39.46% |
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