SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 50.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 24.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Dundalk win it was 0-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derry City | Draw | Dundalk |
50.18% ( 1.55) | 25.62% ( -0.67) | 24.19% ( -0.89) |
| Both teams to score 49.17% ( 1.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.19% ( 1.82) | 53.81% ( -1.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.72% ( 1.51) | 75.28% ( -1.51) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.53% ( 1.44) | 21.47% ( -1.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.49% ( 2.17) | 54.5% ( -2.18) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.61% ( 0.21) | 37.38% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.83% ( 0.21) | 74.17% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derry City | Draw | Dundalk |
| 1-0 @ 12.34% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.15)2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.2)3-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.3)3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.19)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.34% Total : 50.17% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.59)2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.53) 1-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.69% Total : 24.19% |
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