SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Derry City win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shamrock Rovers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Derry City |
44.39% ( 0.09) | 25.79% ( -0.04) | 29.83% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.02% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.12% ( 0.15) | 50.88% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.24% ( 0.13) | 72.76% ( -0.13) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.15% ( 0.11) | 22.85% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.42% ( 0.16) | 56.58% ( -0.16) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.72% ( 0.04) | 31.28% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.37% ( 0.05) | 67.63% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Derry City |
| 1-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.79% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.11% Total : 44.39% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0)Other @ 2.9% Total : 29.83% |
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