SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 27.43% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Derry City win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Derry City |
45.6% ( 0.69) | 26.97% ( 0.08) | 27.43% ( -0.76) |
| Both teams to score 48.01% ( -0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.34% ( -0.66) | 56.66% ( 0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.38% ( -0.53) | 77.62% ( 0.53) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.21% ( 0.05) | 24.79% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.63% ( 0.06) | 59.36% ( -0.06) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.84% ( -0.96) | 36.16% ( 0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.05% ( -0.99) | 72.94% ( 1) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Derry City |
| 1-0 @ 12.5% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.38% Total : 45.59% | 1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.96% | 0-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.91% Total : 27.43% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
