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League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 11
May 15, 2021 at 6pm UK
Tallaght Stadium, Dublin
DC

Shamrock
1 - 1
Derry

Gaffney (56')
Hoare (48')
Hoare (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Patching (49' pen.)
Lafferty (81'), Gartside (84')
Lafferty (90')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Shamrock Rovers and Derry City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 62.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Derry City had a probability of 15.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.78%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Derry City win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Shamrock RoversDrawDerry City
62.25%22.71%15.04%
Both teams to score 43.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.98%54.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.55%75.45%
Shamrock Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.09%16.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.04%46.96%
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.14%47.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.87%83.13%
Score Analysis
    Shamrock Rovers 62.25%
    Derry City 15.04%
    Draw 22.7%
Shamrock RoversDrawDerry City
1-0 @ 14.38%
2-0 @ 12.78%
2-1 @ 9.42%
3-0 @ 7.57%
3-1 @ 5.58%
4-0 @ 3.37%
4-1 @ 2.48%
3-2 @ 2.06%
5-0 @ 1.2%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 62.25%
1-1 @ 10.59%
0-0 @ 8.09%
2-2 @ 3.47%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 22.7%
0-1 @ 5.96%
1-2 @ 3.91%
0-2 @ 2.2%
1-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 15.04%

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