SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galway United win with a probability of 45.26%. A win for Drogheda United had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galway United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Drogheda United win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Galway United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Drogheda United | Draw | Galway United |
28.81% ( 0.38) | 25.93% ( -0.04) | 45.26% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 51.99% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.05% ( 0.36) | 51.95% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.31% ( 0.31) | 73.69% ( -0.31) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.42% ( 0.47) | 32.58% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.88% ( 0.53) | 69.12% ( -0.53) |
| Galway United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.11% ( -0) | 22.89% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.36% ( -0) | 56.64% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Drogheda United | Draw | Galway United |
| 1-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.59% Total : 28.81% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 9.09% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.11% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 4.47% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.08% Total : 45.26% |
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