Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Galway United had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Galway United win was 1-0 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Galway United | Draw | Derry City |
32.29% ( -0.5) | 27.75% ( -0.15) | 39.96% ( 0.65) |
Both teams to score 48.05% ( 0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.3% ( 0.46) | 57.7% ( -0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.55% ( 0.36) | 78.46% ( -0.36) |
Galway United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.96% ( -0.11) | 33.05% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.36% ( -0.12) | 69.64% ( 0.12) |
Derry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.77% ( 0.59) | 28.23% ( -0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.07% ( 0.74) | 63.94% ( -0.74) |
Score Analysis |
Galway United | Draw | Derry City |
1-0 @ 10.33% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 32.29% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.74% | 0-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 7.46% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.79% Total : 39.96% |
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