Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Waterford United had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Waterford United win was 1-0 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.