Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 49.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 24.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Finn Harps win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.