Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rapid Vienna win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rapid Vienna win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.61%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rapid Vienna would win this match.